Tuesday, April 20, 2010

UK Election Calculator

The BBC has an election seat calculator for the upcoming UK elections:

uk election calculator

I will say this: UK electoral democracy appears to be pretty messed up. Like, US-caliber mess up. I say this because as you can see, I've set the calculator so that the 3 majorest parties all get just about the same percentage of the vote (a third each, if you want to check my math). Yet look at the seat distribution that results from that popular vote outcome:



See? Messed up. Everyone gets the same number of votes but the Tories and Lib Dems combined don't have as many seats as Labour. W, if I may say, TF? I assume this is a function of the Lib Dem vote being highly concentrated in ethnic areas? And the conservative vote being somewhat concentrated in rural areas? But I'm sort of projecting from the American political scene, so that may be way off base.

At any rate, the BBC's "poll of polls" currecntly shows the Conservatives with a slight lead: 33% to 29% for each of the other two parties. That would result in 285 votes fo Labour to 244 for the conservatives, and a whopping 92 seats for team yellow. Democracy!!!And since this would result in a hung parliament, I assume the High Court would intervene and choose the victor in a 5-4 ruling according to their own political predilections. What, isn't that how everyone does it?

50 comments:

Owen B said...

It's a nonsense, isn't it?

In broad terms, Labour votes are concentrated in poorer urban areas where turnout tends to be low. So Labour on average needs fewer votes to win seats. Tory votes are spread fairly evenly over mainly middle class suburban and rural areas. Lib Dem votes are not very concentrated at all except to some extent in the sparsely populated peripheral areas of Scotland, Wales and south west England, consequently they tend to finish in second place in a lot of constituencies which is useless in a first past the post electoral system.

The system kind of works when you have two dominant parties but it's ridiculous when a strong third party emerges as today.

If there was no overall majority, our unwritten constitution quite clearly states (joke) that the unelected monarch (absurd anachronism) should ask one of the parties (probably the incumbent, but not necessarily) to try to form a workable minority government. This kind of thing happened in 1974 and was followed within months by another general election.

You think you've got problems with hanging chads.....?

The BBC interactive election map is brilliant.

Lee Kindness said...

Note the grey section for others... Have a stab at moving that from 7% to 31%... Not a single extra seat. That and your own observations really do indicate the crudeness of the model plus the overwhelming English-centric approach.

The UK is anything but a homogeneous state - Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have devolved parliaments of their own. In those countries the political make up is very different. For example is Scotland the Conservatives are the fourth party, while the Scottish National Party have 50% of the vote...

Add on to that the electioneering in the devolved countries on issues (e.g. health, education, ...) that the Westminster parliament has no remit over.

Tom said...

Interestingly, a move to a less eyebrow-raising voting system is now on the cards for the first time in (my) living memory - yellow have been gunning it all along for obvious reasons, blue have always hated the idea - after all, they are conservative - but red are now strangely enough offering to change the system they do so obscenely well out of, because they may well really need yellow's support in a few weeks.

I'm not holding out much hope though. Much as the UK is obviously the best country in the world etc., I still blink in surprise whenever I see anything large-scale done efficiently and sensibly over here, irrespective of the politics concerned.

home for sale costa rica said...

Hi, i'm really interested in this post...I want to know more about "UK Election Calculator".

Thats exactly what I was searching in this time...

Thanks!!!

healthy sharing said...

Considerably, this post is really the sweetest on this notable topic. I harmonise with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your incoming updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the phenomenal clarity in your writing. I will directly grab your rss feed to stay informed of any updates. Admirable work and much success in your business dealings!.Please excuse my poor English as it is not my first tongue. free download music

Anonymous said...

Today hermes has been globally renowned for its exclusive leather items such as shoes and bags along with perfumes. Products holding the brand name of hermes belt simple speak of its class and quality. hermes wallet are known for style and quality and are made from unique leather quality that makes them of highest quality.
The lida weight loss pill is currently being marketed as a safer and less drastic alternative to gastric bypass surgery or any other type of surgical intervention or invasive method aiming to limit the amount of food that a person is able to absorb and digest. At lida slimming maximum capacity, the lida daidaihua weight loss pill can swell or expand to as much as 1,000 times its normal size, approximately weighing about one liter. This new innovation of slimming capsule has been met with very high prospects and hopes by both scientists and consumers. Let us cross our fingers that the daidaihua weight loss pill is indeed the answer we have been waiting for to solve all our weight loss problems. As of this writing, the slimming capsules weight loss pill is still undergoing final tests and trials, but will be available for purchase in the market very soon.
Why women are so obsessed with Chanel bags fashion bags? Practically speaking, women usually would have lots of odds and ends, so they need Chanel bag to hold these little stuffs. But you may ask that men also have things like that, why wouldn't they shop for fashion Chanel Wallet so diligently like women do? All they need may just be a shabby sport Chanel handbags .
Tiffany jewellery is beautiful. But if you don’t wear it properly, you won’t get the effects you want. It is necessary for every beauty-loving woman to know how to wear Tiffany rings . In this article, I’d introduce some suggestions for wearing silver rings . As we all know, Tiffany earrings are jewelry attached to the ear through a piercing in the earlobe or some other external part of the ear. Earrings are women’s favorite.

led said...

Christian Louboutin Tall Boots
Christian Louboutin Wedges
Christian Louboutin Pumps
Christian Louboutin Sandals
Jimmy Choo Shoes
Moncler Kid's Jackets
Moncler clothing wholesale
Wholesale Moncler Jackets
discount Moncler Jackets
http://www.shopmoncler.hk/moncler-jackets
http://www.utsource.net/BUK444-500B.html
http://www.utsource.net/MG50Q6ES41.html
http://www.utsource.net/UM150CDY-10.html
http://www.utsource.net/MP7002.html
http://www.utsource.net/TMS320F2812PGFA.html
http://www.utsource.net/CEM3374.html
http://www.utsource.net/2sj74.html

weddingdresses said...

Are you preparing Christmas gifts for your loves ,family and friends now ?
Maybe you can choose us , we always provide the excellent quality products and best after-sale service ,

And recently we have a active promotions :Happy Shopping at Dec,
the content of preference:
10%~15% discount
a Christmas gift
Free shipping!

we are accept paypal ,credit card and western union for payment .
New arrival :Power Balance
winter boots
power balance bracelet
Silly Bands
Reebok Easytone
reebok zigtech
efx bracelet
Moncler Jackets

ferragamo shoes said...

how to care your fegaro shoes..

justin bieber said...

Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the phenomenal clarity in your writing. I will directly grab your rss feed to stay informed of any updates.

quail hill homes for sale said...

But I'm sort of projecting from the American political scene, so that may be way off base.

quail hill mortgage brokers said...

set the calculator so that the 3 majorest parties all get just about the same percentage of the vote

roger vivier said...

We are offering you a chance to form long-term business partnerships with Oakley sunglasses outlet on sale 60% off,free shipping, an opportunity that you.The subversion of concept that cheap oakley radar glasses on glasses products is that it integrate the comfortable vzkjvnzk , practical, artistic of a sunglass in one.By having a tent such as this oakley frogskins Sunglasses Outlet Store, you might be wholly in the shade and guarded from your sun and wind in.

vibradores said...

The dude is absolutely right, and there is no question.

www.rivas-vaciamadrid.biz said...

Quite worthwhile data, thanks for your post.

felicity said...

Fascinating article- I must say. I'm glad to have found this blog because I recently entertained the idea that hardly anything is original anymore. thanks very much for the share...
stop pre ejaculation
home treatments for hemorrhoids
easy online business
No.1 Natural Cure From Japan
Proven Natural Cure For Eyes

album foto said...

I think people fear idea management and innovation because there's a significant number of ideas that simply won't plan out.......Nice statement.....keep posting

asuransi pendidikan said...

this day I've been searching for information on various issues, this I found very good and I would like to congratulate you for your work.

design interior jakarta said...

I think that this post is one of the best that i have read in my life, congrats you did a great job,.

perusahaan security said...

the difference between the content spammers and most corporate innovators is that the smaller

jual wine said...

I'm writing to you because I just came across a business that I think has great potential. It lets you save money on almost everything. Make money from almost everything,

coklat valentine said...

If growth is important to a firm, and if growth is dependent on offering existing products and services to new customers

belajar internet marketing said...

innovation is very natural and happens in the "real world" as new plants and animals colonize new ecological niches.

konsultan perusahaan said...

I wonder how you got so good. This is really a fascinating blog, lots of stuff that I can get into. One thing I just want to say is that your Blog is so perfect

kuliner bandung said...

We generally think most specifically about the risk associated with a new product introduction

how to stay erect said...

I would be aware that as somebody who really doesn’t comment to blogs a lot (in actual fact, this may be my first put up), I don’t think the time period “lurker” is very flattering to a non-posting reader.

Unknown said...

Thanks a lot.The articles of your site is really helpful and usable for visitors., one of the excellent blog in which i.
surabaya city tour package | Model Baju Korea Terbaru | Kumpulan Informasi Terbaru | lowongan kerja surabaya | surabaya store | trend model terkini | cara agar hidup sehat | informasi teknologi terbaru saat ini

Unknown said...

nice articel, thankyou
obat alami untuk kemaluan yang keluar nanah
obat alami untuk sembuhkan kemaluan yang keluar nanah
obat alami untuk atasi kemaluan yang keluar nanah
obat yang alami untuk kemaluan yang keluar nanah
obat herbal alami untuk kemaluan yang keluar nanah

Anonymous said...

good
Obat Kondiloma Akuminata Pada Wanita
Obat Kondiloma Akuminata di Apotik
Obat Kondiloma Akuminata
Pengobatan Kondiloma Akuminata Pada Wanita di Apotik
Obat Herbal Kondiloma Akuminata
Obat Herbal Kondiloma Akuminata Wanita
Pengobatan Herbal Kondiloma Akuminata Pada Wanita
Obat Kondiloma Akuminata Pada Wanita
Obat Alami Kondiloma Akuminata
Pengobatan Alami Kondiloma Akuminata Pada Wanita
Obat Kondiloma Akuminata Wanita
Obat Alami Kondiloma Akuminata di Wanita
obat sipilis di pria
pengobatan sipilis pada pria
obat sipilis kemaluan pria
obat ampuh sipilis pada pria
Cari Obat Tradisional Sipilis Pada Pria
Cari Obat Herbal Sipilis Pada Pria
Cari Obat Sipilis Pria
Cari Obat Ampuh Sipilis Pada Pria
Obat Sipilis Pada Pria
Obat Sipilis Pada Pria Apotik
Obat Sipilis Pria di Apotik
pengobatan Sipilis Pada Pria di Apotik
Jual Obat Sipilis Pria
Jual Obat Sipilis di Pria
Jual Obat Ampuh Sipilis Pada Pria
Jual Obat Herbal Sipilis Pada Pria
Obat buat Ambeyen Akut
Obat buat Ambeien
Pengobatan buat Ambeien Akut
Obat buat Ambeien yang Akut
Obat Buat Ambeien Akut
Cari Obat Alami Buat Ambeien Akut
Cari Obat Buat Ambeien
Cari Obat Ampuh Buat Ambeien Akut

Clipping Path Service said...

Really nice and informative post about UK Election Calculator.. Thanks for sharing keep it up!!
clipping path | clipping path service | Image Background Remove | Image Masking | Photo Retouching services | See More at: http://clippingpathking.com/


Gantungan kunci AKRILIK said...

good planninggantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kuncigantungan kunci

Unknown said...

cara mengobati penyakit gonore
cara cepat menyembuhkan penyakit gonore
obat herbal manjur untuk gonore
mengobati gonore dengan bahan herbal alami
obat gonore yang manjur dan murah
pengobatan herbal untuk penyakit gonore
obat tradisional yang manjur untuk gonore
kencing keluar nanah dan cara mengobatinya
obat herbal untuk mengobati jerawat di vagina
cara mengobati gonore pada pria secara alami
obat tradisional mengobati gonore
resep obat tradisional gonore
jual obat herbal untuk gonore

obat wasir sembuh tuntas said...

Cara ampuh mengobati wasir sampai tuntas
Cara ampuh mengobati wasir
Cara ampuh mengobati wasir
Cara ampuh mengobati wasir
Cara mengobati wasir
Cara cepat mengobati wasir
Cara cepat mengobati wasir
Cara cepat mengobati wasir
Cara cepat mengobati wasir
Cara terbaik mengobati wasir cepat sembuh
Cara cepat mengobati benjolan wasir
Cara cepat mengobati wasir
Cara cepat dan aman mengobati wasir
Cara ampuh mengobati wasir sudah parah
Cara mengobati wasir
Cara mengobati wasir stadium 3
Obat ambeien berdarah
Cara mengobati wasir stadium 3

Unknown said...

Resep Obat Benjolan Ambeien Terdaftar di BPOM Wasir tidak dapat menyebabkan kanker dubur. Dalam beberapa kasus yang jarang, orang dengan kanker dubur yang paling bertanggung jawab untuk memiliki wasir. Hal ini terjadi karena meningkatnya tekanan pada tumor. http://juragan-obat-herbal.blogspot.com/2016/01/resep-obat-benjolan-ambeien-terdaftar.html , Obat Penghilang Ambeien Alami Paling Manjur di Apotik Seperti telah disebutkan, ada beberapa aktivitas yang juga dapat menstimulasi munculnya penyakit ini. Kebiasaan menahan untuk buang air besar, adalah salah satu pemicu wasir. Di sisi lain kebiasaan untuk mengejan terlalu keras meningkatkan risiko anda terkena wasir. http://caramengobati321.blogspot.com/2016/01/obat-penghilang-ambeien-alami-paling.html Resep Obat Tradisional Ampuh Kemaluan Bernanah Menurut para ahli, nyeri di bagian pinggul ini disebabkan oleh bakteri gonorrhea yang sudah menjalar keatas. http://obatherbal789.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-758.html , Obat Tradisional Kemaluan yang Bernanah Mungkin anda pernah mendengar penyakit kencing nanah. Dalam dunia medis, penyakit kencing nanah disebut sebagai penyakit gonore yang dikategorikan sebagai salah satu penyakit seksual menular. Penyakit kencing nanah ini timbul karena adanya infeksi bakteri Neisseria gonorheae yang masuk ke dalam tubuh si penderita dan menyerang beberapa bagian tubuh seperti lapisan putih mata, tenggorokan, bagian dalam saluran kencing/ uretra, leher rahim, serviks, organ kelamin pria dan wanita, rectum/ anus, kulit, dan bahkan dapat menyerang bagian sistem persendian. http://sehatselalu003.blog.com/2016/01/18/obat-tradisional-kemaluan-yang-bernanah/ Penyebab Kemaluan Pria Keluar Nanah Gejala umum yang dirasakan oleh penderita kencing nanah antara lain: keluarnya cairan berupa nanah dari saluran kandungkemih/ uretra baik pria maupun wanita, rasa panas yang luar biasa seperti terbakar pada bagian yang terinfeksi, pada wanita biasanya akan merasakan rasa nyeri dan sakit pada bagian vagina dan serviknya serta nyeri perut yang sangat luar biasa, banyaknya cairan yang keluar dari vagina, rasa sakit dan nyeri pada saat buang air kecil, pada pria organ kelamin akan mengalami pembengkakan dan berwarna merah pada ujung kepala organ kelaminnya, dan air kencing berwarna kuning kehijau-hjuan. http://herbal234.blog.planetbiru.com/?id=8729 , Beli Obat Tradisional Keluar Nanah dari Kelamin Rasa nyeri ini juga diikuti dengan desakan atau rasa ingin buang air kecil. Kedua, saat pasien buaang air kecil mereka akan merasakan nyeri yang amat sangat dan disertai dengan keluarnya nanah dari penis atau vagina. http://obatampuhdenature.blogspot.com/2016/01/beli-obat-tradisional-keluar-nanah-dari.html
http://juragan-obat-herbal.blogspot.com/2016/01/pusat-obat-tradisional-kutil-kelamin-de.html
http://herbal234.blog.com/2016/01/26/obat-alternatif-untuk-mengobati-penyakit-kutil-di-kelamin-wanita/
http://coffeeelevated.com/obat-untuk-kutil-di-kemaluan-pria-tanpa-operasi.html

myslot said...

ช่วงนี้ต้องดูหนัง Avengers: Endgame อเวนเจอร์ส: เผด็จศึก (2019) มาร่วมกันต่อสู้ไปกับเหล่าฮีโร่ในหนังออนไลน์เรื่องนี้

https://www.doonung1234.com/

Mike Davis said...

The calculator helps you in many ways to resolve your basic calculations and also make your work a bit easier and helpful and not only this, the article has given a very clear understanding of each thing.

casinositewiki said...

Great blog here! Thanks for sharing this info
카지노사이트
온라인카지노
바카라사이트
카지노사이트킹

oncasinosite said...

Nice article, I am truly enjoying this. cheers
카지노사이트
온라인카지노
카지노사이트
바카라사이트

casinosite 카지노사이트존 said...

you’re in reality a good webmaster. The website loading velocity is amazing.

sportstotozone 스포츠토토존 said...

Very helpful information specifically the final phase.

gostopsite 고스톱사이트 said...

“I really enjoyed all of articles on this website,

webmoneymantra said...

thanks for sharing valuable info............ Baldur’s Gate 3

safetotosite said...

Pay a quick visit this website, it includes valuable Information here. Goodluck!

casinositenet said...

It's hard not to read this post, interesting! Sharing is caring!

mttotosite said...

Thanks for the blog loaded with so many information.

sportstoto365 said...

Absolutely fantastic posting! Lots of useful information and inspiration.

안전한 파워볼사이트 said...

This site is good and I found very interesting stuff here. Great job.

토토사이트 순위 said...

I believe this is among the so much significant information for me.

토토사이트 추천 said...

Good blog! I truly love how it is simple on my eyes and the data are well written.

온라인카지노사이트 said...

Will keep checking for new information about this blog!! you're awesome blogger.