Monday, February 9, 2009

Political Identification in the US

Last week, the Gallup polling agency came out with a new survey of political identification in all 50 US states. Here are the results:

It's a Democratic blowout. Democrats have an advantage in 35 states, Republicans in only 5. Democrats lead in each of the 22 largest states, and 31 of the 32 largest. It's such a severe blowout, in fact, that I am inclined to take it with a grain of salt. After all, it's a survey of all adults, rather than just registered voters, and adults as a whole tend to lean more Democratic than the actual electorate. Plus, this surely includes a lot of southern white Democrats, who often vote Republican. But Paul Rosenberg compared this 2008 data to a similar survey Gallup did in 2002, and the contrast is striking:

Two points. Number one: Gallup's design sense has improved drastically. Number two: the country is undeniably way more Democratic than it was in 2002. There's obviously been a big shift in the politics of the US since the days of terror alerts and mushroom-cloud smoking guns.


MacD said...

Wait 4 years and you'll see the biggest populist Republican backlash since Reagan (or bigger even).

K H D and sometimes T said...

I'm not sure this proves anything except we are a fickle, fickle people. It's interesting that you can show that in map form though - i wouldn't of thought.

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